How Does Event Triggered Assignment Reduce Noise?
The Dilution Problem
Top-of-funnel assignment randomizes all users on first request. For a checkout experiment, this includes users who never browse products, never add to cart, never reach checkout. These users contribute zero signal but add variance, diluting your ability to detect effects.
If only 5% of users reach checkout, you are measuring the treatment effect on 100% of users but only 5% could possibly be affected. The 95% dilution multiplies your required sample size by roughly 20x.
Triggering at the Right Moment
For a checkout experiment, trigger assignment when user reaches checkout page. For a recommendation algorithm, trigger at first recommendation display. The trigger event should be the last moment before treatment exposure.
Trade-offs
Event-triggered experiments have smaller sample (only triggered users) but cleaner signal. They cannot measure upstream effects (does treatment change funnel entry rate?). Use top-of-funnel assignment when measuring total business impact; use event-triggered when measuring feature-specific effects.